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Donald Trump and the Evolving U.S.-Russia Relationship[#631498]-828000.pdf
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Title: Navigating Global Power Shifts: Trump's Unconventional Foreign Policy and the Ongoing Struggles of the U.S. and Russia
Description: This document delves into the complex world of international relations, highlighting how Donald Trump's unique approach to foreign policy is reshaping global dynamics. From his views on U.S.-China relations to the challenges faced by traditional power players like the U.S. and Russia as the world power center shifts towards the Pacific, the text explores the implications for strategic interests, international agreements, and global alliances.
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ARTICLE
Donald Trump and the Evolving U.S.-Russia
Relationship
Andrei KOROBKOV*
Abstract
Donald Trump came to the White House with a desire to adjust U.S. foreign
policy to the ongoing shifts in t...
* Prof., Middle Tennessee State University, Department of Political Science and Internation-
al Relations, Murfreesboro, TN, USA. E-mail: andrei.korobkov@mtsu.edu
HB PERCEPTIONS, Spring-Summer 2019, ...
The significance of the ongoing
changes may be registered in the
recent, feverish attempts by the U.S. to create new regional structures, first
of all in the Pacific region that would
exclude China an...
Third, even though in most (though not all) cases, the major powers are not
interested anymore in sponsoring the conflicts in the Global South, they
frequently do not strive to stop such conflicts if ...
Again, as it happened already in 1492 (the
starting point of European colonialism and worldwide domination) and
1878 (the Congress of Berlin’s declaration of Western entitlement to the
“uncivilized” t...
In his speech to the joint session of Congress in the wake of the military
operation in Kuwait, President Bush stated:
We stand today at a unique and extraordinary moment. The
crisis in the Persian G...
A world where the rule of law supplants the
rule of the jungle. A world in which nations recognize the shared
responsibility for freedom and justice. A world where the strong
respect the rights of the...
In the face of tyranny,
let no one doubt American credibility and reliability. Let no one
doubt our staying power.’
Under Bill Clinton, this trend was further expressed in the proclamation
of the exi...
Andrei KOROBKOV
Thecomplete state collapse
in Libya and Somalia; the
rapid destruction of state
structures in Afghanistan,
Iraq, and Ukraine; the
crises in Egypt, Tunisia,
and Yemen; and the civil
wa...
support for Israel and an
attempt to return to the U.S. balancing act between the Sunni Arab regimes
(first of all, Saudi Arabia) and the Shia Iran, that had been characteristic of U.S. policies in t...
Today’s announcement underscores
why we need to follow the facts and work to protect the integrity
of future elections.‘
Ironically, among the unexpected results of this campaign were the emergence
i...
elections are symbolic of the seriousness
of the challenges (both internal and external) that the U.S. currently faces. Thus the study of the current U.S. policy towards Russia cannot be limited
to a...
political establishment, including
Hillary Clinton and such dogmatic Cold War warriors as John McCain,
Lindsay Graham, Bob Porter, or Marco Rubio, Trump and his senior political
advisor (until August ...
context:
The text introduces the contrast between the political establishment's views, including figures like Hillary Clinton, John McCain, Lindsay Graham, Bob Porter, and Marco Rubio, and Trump's perspective on adjusting U.S. foreign policies.
geopolitical priorities: declaring the “America
First” principle, espousing a return to a traditional understanding of
the state sovereignty concept, proposing a less interventionist and
ideologically...
Even more
important were the economic projections of that time, indicating that due to
their faster rates of economic growth (respectively 6.7% and 6.6% in 2016
compared to the U.S.’ 1.6%), the size o...
PI tell you the problems I have with NATO. No. 1, we pay far
too much... Today, it has to be changed. It has to be changed to
include terror. It has to be changed from the standpoint of cost
because t...
This has further
reinforced his desire to take steps aimed at weakening China (including the
improvement of U.S.-Russia relations), and protecting the American industry
and agriculture sectors from wh...
Thus the
Europeans are being told to at least fulfil
their legal obligations, contained in the
NATO Charter, and to pay for their own
defence. Indeed, in 2015, the U.S. spent
3.6% of its GDP on defen...
Simultaneously, this
approach essentially undermines or completely eliminates some of the major
areas of strategic and ideological contention between the U.S. and Russia. Meanwhile, Trump’s original c...
Indicative in this sense
were the new sanctions, introduced or at least declared against Russia, the
decision to sell lethal weapons to Ukraine ona limited scale, and the change in
the tone regarding ...
Donald Trump and the Evolving U.S.-Russia Relationship
‘Trump’semphasisison targeted, smartsanctions,
oriented against Russia's political and business
elites, particularly those belonging to Putin's
...
fact:
Trump appreciates the scope of the structural changes taking place within the international system and sees China, not Russia, as the main U.S. rival and threat to American strategic interests. Even more so, as both a political realist and a businessman, Trump is much less inclined than conventional politicians and ideologues to give large amounts of money or any political or military guarantees to the corrupt and unstable political regimes outside NATO. This creates significant problems for Eastern Europe and especially for Ukraine and Georgia, considering the developments in those countries over the last ten years. Simultaneously, this approach essentially undermines or completely eliminates some of the major areas of strategic and ideological contention between the U.S. and Russia. Trump's original conceptual design went even further, and was based on a willingness to repeat the Nixon/Kissinger political experiment of the 1970s, when the U.S. started to play the 'Chinese card' against the USSR, this time playing Russia against China, and destroying or significantly weakening those global institutions such as the WTO and regional trade agreements that were formed or expanded during the last twenty-five years.
In his view, these agreements and
structures, designed initially to give advantage to the U.S., at present favour
China and a number of other countries. He also seems to be willing to raise
tensions w...
fact:
In Trump's view, international agreements and structures initially meant to benefit the U.S. are now seen as favoring China and other countries. He is open to escalating tensions with China to hinder its progress, potentially through a 'containment' policy, which carries risks of provoking a strong Chinese response. The recent show of strength by the U.S. in East Asia has led to crises with North Korea, posing dangers and adding to potential strains in U.S. relationships with China and Russia.
fact:
There is uncertainty regarding how much the process of globalization can be undone or slowed down, and the potential repercussions for the U.S. and the global economy. Additionally, Trump's stance on 'containing' Iran might escalate tensions in the region, despite both countries facing a common threat in the form of Sunni religious fundamentalism, which could theoretically encourage collaboration.
Second, Trump’s willingness to “contain” Iran could lead to a sharp increase
in tensions with that country and in that region in general — ironically in
a situation in which both states face a common ...
fact:
Trump's willingness to 'contain' Iran could lead to increased tensions with Iran and the region, despite the potential for cooperation against Sunni religious fundamentalism.
fact:
Trump's anti-immigrant policies and actions, including attempts to renegotiate NAFTA, may worsen U.S. relations with Latin America, increase anti-American sentiments, and have significant economic impacts.
fact:
Trump's policies on immigration, including DACA, weaken the U.S.'s position in international labor and education markets, potentially diverting skilled individuals to other countries.
Fifth, seeking the support of the military and trying to boost economic
growth on the basis of government-generated demand, Trump is aggressively
expanding the military budget. The expected $716 billi...
fact:
By expanding the military budget, Trump aggressively aims to gain military support and boost economic growth through government-generated demand. The expected figure for 2019 is $716 billion, representing an increase of more than 7% over the 2018 budget and over 13% compared to 2017's expenditure of about $634 billion. This action is likely to provoke suspicion and similar moves from major military rivals, notably China and Russia.
Still, the question is — what would happen if a serious conflict of interests —
either national or personal — were to emerge, and it became an issue of pride
(say, an assassination of a U.S. official ...
intelligence services” had proof of Russian involvement in
the U.S. elections on Donald Trump’s side. In recent American history, there have been precedents of political pressure on
the USS. intellige...
Andrei KOROBKOV
that includes leftist populist groups, the traditional liberal establishment, and
hardcore right-wing politicians in order to discredit Trump's policies, turn
public opinion against h...
Tragically, U.S.-Russian relations have become a hostage to this anti-Trump
campaign: first, due to the accusations crusade alleging Russian attempts to
influence the U.S. elections and implying that ...
Significant
personnel cuts and structural reorganizations have taken place within the
major intelligence, security and foreign policy governmental structures. Thus
the White House is trying to lessen ...
fact:
The ongoing shift of the world power centre to the Pacific region signifies a decisive and irreversible loss of Europe's positions in the world economic and political systems, which their elites refuse to recognize or accept.
Libya, Syria, and
recently, Ukraine, the Europeans are further worsening their future prospects. Meanwhile, for the two “continental” members of the world system, the U.S. and Russia, for all the diff...
context:
The text explores the challenges faced by the Eurocentric system as the global power center shifts to the Pacific region, resulting in a systemic collapse and irreversible loss of European positions in the global economy and politics. It also delves into the difficulties encountered by the U.S. and Russia as they navigate this shift and the emergence of state-civilizations with long histories and non-European cultures.
context:
The text delves into the challenges faced by the main players in the international system, particularly the U.S. and Russia, as the global power center shifts towards the Pacific region. It also addresses the difficulties arising from the emergence of state-civilizations with rich histories and non-European cultures.
fact:
The U.S. and Russia, despite differences in their economic and military capabilities, are going through a painful adjustment as the world power center shifts. Their aim is to pivot their focus respectively from East to West and West to East, amidst the rise of state-civilizations with ancient histories and non-European backgrounds. Despite the overshadowing of their relative strengths by the international system's dynamics, they will need to collaborate on global issues and contend with the growing influence of China.
The current elite media campaign, aimed to a large extent against Trump,
not Russia, creates a distorted virtual picture of the world that is completely
separated from reality. Especially dangerous is...
context:
The media campaign against Trump, rather than Russia, distorts the world's perception and pushes Russian policies towards authoritarianism and anti-Western stances. This poses a threat to U.S. security interests, necessitating a political compromise and a new understanding of the evolving international system.
fact:
The media campaign against Trump distorts the world's perception and pushes Russian policies towards authoritarianism and anti-Western stances, posing a threat to U.S. security interests.
See: “A Uni-Multipolar World,” AEI Letter, 1 July 1998, http://www.aei. org/publication/a-uni-multipolar-world/print/ (Accessed 1 June 2018). According to Huntington, “A
unipolar world is one in which...
Bush, “Address Before a Joint Session of the Congress on the Persian Gulf Crisis and the
Federal Budget Deficit,” The American Presidency Project, 11 September 1990, http://www.presidency. ucsb.edu/ws...
“Transcript: Donald Trump Expands on His Foreign Policy Views,” The New York Times, 26 March
2016, https://www.nytimes.com/2016/03/27/us/politics/donald-trump-transcript.html (Accessed 1
June 2018). J...
Trump’s State of the Union Address,” The White House, 30 January 2018, https://
www.whitehouse.gov/briefings-statements/president-donald-j-trumps-state-union-address/_ (Accessed
1 June 2018). 57 Andre...
Second, the very length of the listing and its all-inclusive character made many
observers believe that the administration once again wants to put a brake on the sanctions. 18 Greg Jaffe and Damian Pa...
cooperation with Russia in the security sphere,
including blocking the exchange of intelligence information on the activities of DAESH and other fun-
damentalist groups, and preventing personal intera...
fact:
The last weeks of Obama’s presidency were marked by a series of moves aimed at inflicting permanent damage on U.S. relations with a number of countries. These includes orchestrating a UN Security Council vote on a resolution condemning Israel, expelling 35 Russian diplomats and their families on Christmas eve in 2016, introducing sanctions against the leadership of the Russian security and intelligence services, and provoking reciprocal moves on the Russian side, making meetings physically impossible. All these steps were aimed at weakening the U.S.-Israeli alliance and destroying any possibility of effective U.S. cooperation with Russia in the security sphere.
Who Can Mend Relations,” The
New York Times, 4 October 2017, https://www.nytimes.com/2017/10/04/world/europe/putin-rus-
sia-us.html (Accessed 1 June 2018). 58